Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 79.543160 89.133344 98.955380 109.736364 121.207211 133.018842 146.071897
2025-01-05 65.902826 79.810286 94.693071 111.680444 130.413277 150.329125 172.993310
2025-01-12 55.950006 72.011369 89.785334 110.660217 134.264511 159.907383 189.654400
2025-01-19 47.358257 64.633536 84.364067 108.144399 135.632478 166.050448 201.906118
2025-01-26 43.851420 62.689111 84.737634 111.833589 143.662878 179.352893 221.898859
2025-02-02 40.414058 60.429967 84.410329 114.416394 150.182984 190.762571 239.617603
2025-02-09 35.682901 56.125501 81.257391 113.320759 152.132890 196.708116 250.918187
2025-02-16 31.564936 52.242137 78.318524 112.212705 153.839165 202.188284 261.531607
2025-02-23 28.823615 49.935853 77.165683 113.130243 157.841288 210.261038 275.088153
2025-03-02 25.972151 47.238042 75.317857 113.015774 160.457964 216.596339 286.536855
2025-03-09 23.732244 45.208585 74.195914 113.696778 163.956072 223.917003 299.105392
2025-03-16 21.061532 42.332622 71.769588 112.553000 165.069162 228.278280 308.089966
2025-03-23 19.521702 41.048666 71.460973 114.162187 169.672767 236.950295 322.357067
2025-03-30 18.249431 40.073004 71.511491 116.202690 174.806355 246.278685 337.449566
2025-04-06 16.153942 37.610643 69.330294 115.149477 175.901232 250.581472 346.422205
2025-04-13 13.840650 34.561362 66.131822 112.572666 174.913573 252.217309 352.081522
2025-04-20 13.437413 34.708081 67.583257 116.352760 182.189964 264.151431 370.347085
2025-04-27 12.773340 34.338998 68.231065 118.998686 187.974960 274.227894 386.357681
2025-05-04 11.249832 32.284568 66.237948 117.876352 188.737045 277.954712 394.530955
2025-05-11 9.868624 30.337946 64.299010 116.741201 189.413908 281.525697 402.478605
2025-05-18 9.048334 29.381255 63.844512 117.681185 192.836538 288.568405 414.733266
2025-05-25 8.086692 28.032972 62.695422 117.563920 194.797716 293.724614 424.629606
2025-06-01 7.358302 27.082276 62.132777 118.261544 197.838030 300.251973 436.240396